even on election day, it is impossible to predict the winner

Today, Americans elect a president for the next four years. It is not possible to predict whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win, based on opinion polls, but in any case, the USA will get a new head of state, because the incumbent Joe Biden will not participate in these elections.

  • On Election Day, the score is so tied that the odds of Kamala Harris winning are just 0.015 percent higher than Donald Trump’s. Photo: AP/Scanpix

Äripäev covers election day, election night and everything that follows right here on the live blog. Foreign editor Indrek Lepik, who has just returned from a big US tour, and journalists Martin Teder, Kristjan Pruul and many others will help to directly analyze and cover the most important political event in the democratic world.

In addition to political coverage, Äripäev also mediates the effects on the markets and the wider economy in the stock exchange blog.

The first polling stations close on the west coast of Estonia at 4 o’clock in the early morning on Wednesday, while the last ones close at 9 o’clock. Nearly 80 million voters have already cast their votes in the primary elections. There are nearly 250 million eligible Americans.

According to prediction guru Nate Silver’s election engine, Harris has a 0.015 percent higher chance of becoming president than Trump, meaning that the situation is as close as possible, at least based on projections based on survey data.

If you observe a single battleground in this election, it is the state of Pennsylvania, the winner of which is extremely likely to be the next president. To understand this state, you have to read Indrek Lepik’s report on the ground. But more broadly, this election speaks to a great divide—both class and cultural conflict—in American society.

In all, besides Pennsylvania, there are six other states that are truly competitive: Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada. The candidate needs to get the votes of 270 voters, and 93 of them come from the competitive states. According to the latest studies, there may be surprises here – some red states may turn blue, and sometimes the other way around.

The fate of not only Americans, but also the rest of the world depends on the outcome of the election. The foreign policy platform of each candidate is fundamentally different from the other. The geopolitical conflict with Russia is one of the main points of divergence in the program of Harris and Trump, while the clash with China is written into the policies of both candidates.

On election night, Äripäiv journalists analyze current reports about the election results, reactions, as well as deeper analyzes right here on the live blog.

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Source: www.aripaev.ee