Péter Magyar’s party could count on a hair more than its actual election result, while the ruling party could count on slightly fewer votes.
The popularity of the winning party usually continues to grow after the election, because many people want to belong to the winner’s camp. Compared to this, the advantage of Fidesz-KDNP over the Tisza Party decreased by July, especially young voters bring a new color to the political competition, it is revealed HVG from Median research for
During the survey, the second-placed Tisza Party was called the real winner of the election by far more people than the Fidesz-KDNP, which won the most votes. From this point of view, political interest is the most determining factor, 66 percent of those who are very interested in politics think that Tisza is the winner, while among those who are “slightly” or “not at all” interested, there is a slight majority of Fidesz’s victory.
Based on this, it is not surprising that according to research conducted one month after the election (based on data collected between July 4 and 10)
the Tisza Party can count on one hair more votes than the actual election result, and the Fidesz-KDNP one hair less, and thus the difference between the two political groupings has decreased from 15 to 12 percentage points.
In the weeks following the EP elections, the left-wing bloc led by the Democratic Coalition stabilized its position, even though it was far from victorious, and even increased its support by 1 percentage point. Compared to the last Median survey before the election, the absolute number of its voters has even decreased, the relative increase is explained by the fact that 6 percent of DK supporters are very committed, almost all of them (97 percent) say that in a parliamentary election this Sunday they would go to vote. The same ratio is 83 percent among Fidesz supporters, 89 percent among supporters of the Tisza Party, and only 76 percent among followers of Mi Hazánk, which also brought the election results.
According to the research, among confident voters who can choose
The other parties are below 1 percent.
Dissatisfaction is slowly growing, Tisza is getting closer to Fidesz
The answers also revealed that, as previously reported by our paper, the role of DK president Ferenc Gyurcsány is now considered counterproductive by even more people than before in terms of the chances of a possible change of government. According to the results of the research, they are in a slight majority even among voters who stick to the DK, who believe that “the decisive participation of Ferenc Gyurcsány hinders rather than helps the success of the opposition”.
Even among voters who stick to the DK, there is a slight majority of those who believe that Ferenc Gyurcsány is more likely to hinder the success of the opposition
The average age of the supporters of the Democratic Coalition is 62 years, while the voters of the former Young Democrats are 56 years old. The newer generation is represented by Mi Hazánk and Momentum (45 years), the Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (42 years) and the Tisza Party (44 years).
There are far more people waiting for a change of government than non-Fidesz voters, but who can choose a party, put together.
Most of them choose the Tisza Party (40 percent), 11 percent would vote for the DK-led alliance, 7 percent for the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party, and 6 percent for the Mi Hazánk Movement.
Even in this circle, which calls for a change of government, 27 percent of voters do not know or will not say which party they would vote for in next Sunday’s election.
Republikon: Fidesz continues to lead, followed by the Tisza Party
It was also revealed that month after month a majority of a similar size, nearly two-thirds, feel that things are going in the wrong direction in the country, while only one-third of the people perceive a good direction. Three-quarters of the government party voters are persistently optimistic, while the overwhelming majority of the opposition party is critical, specifically 95-97 percent of Tisza, DK and Momentum voters say that the country is heading in the wrong direction.
IDEA Institute: The difference between Fidesz and the Tisza Party is less than 10 percent
Source: nepszava.hu
