Last week, the Polish Economic Institute released its extensive report “AI on the Polish labor market”, which illustrates the extent to which artificial intelligence will affect jobs in the coming years.
The launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 was certainly one of the hottest debuts in the internet space of the last two decades. This is confirmed by the chart below, according to which the language model from OpenAI needed only two months to gain 100 million users.
As of today, only 1.2% of Poles have not received any information about artificial intelligence, and the vast majority understands more or less how it works. The level of knowledge on this subject increases, of course, with education.
The same applies to the use of artificial intelligence, 14% of people with higher education use ChatGPT or similar solutions (Gemini or Copilot) at least several times a week.
What impact do we think AI will have on the labor market? Opinions are divided, because every fourth respondent believes that the use of artificial intelligence will have a positive impact on the number of jobs on the market, and 33.4% are of the opposite opinion.
Professions most exposed to the impact of AI
Let us now move on to the analysis of the labor market itself, conducted by the Polish Economic Institute, which focused on the impact of artificial intelligence, measured by the broadest measure of AIOE – AI occupational exposure.
Currently, approximately 3.68 million people are employed in the 20 professions most exposed to the impact of artificial intelligence. These are in particular professions related to finance, law or programming, but we are also talking about mathematicians, government officials, secretaries and even academic teachers.
In the table above, PIE divided the impact on individual professions, general artificial intelligence – AIOE, large language models – AIOE LLM and AI for image generation – AIOE Genim.
Ignacy Święcicki, head of the digital economy team at PIE:
Artificial intelligence has the potential to significantly transform the Polish labor market – it simplifies or eliminates some tasks, increases the productivity of some employees, and increases the pressure to acquire new skills. We must also think about these processes taking into account the broader context, for example demographic trends – by 2035, up to 12.5% of people will be on the labor market. fewer employees than currently.
Professions least exposed to the impact of AI
In turn, in the 20 professions least exposed to the impact of AI, the number of employees is more than twice lower than in the most exposed ones – approximately 1.66 million people, or 10% of employees.
As can be seen in the tables above, women are most exposed to the impact of AI, mainly because they are much less likely to undertake physical work and are more often better educated than men.
The place of residence is also important here, which is dictated by the fact that the use of artificial intelligence is more pronounced in voivodeships with large urban agglomerations, where most of the companies and institutions that use advanced new technologies operate.
Thus, in first place with the strongest impact of AI (the percentage of employees in 20 professions with the strongest exposure to AI) is the Masovian Voivodeship (30%), followed by the Lower Silesian Voivodeship (26%), Lesser Poland Voivodeship (25%) and Pomeranian Voivodeship (24%). . However, the weakest impact of AI (percentage of employees in 20 professions with the weakest exposure to AI) is recorded in the Lubuskie and Podkarpackie voivodeships – 12%.
Source: Polish Economic Institute
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Source: antyweb.pl